You forgot to mention that the birth rates are falling in nearly all developed nations. Perhaps that's good for the environment, but we have zero economic plan how to deal with an aging population. This, along with the withdrawal of the U.S. as the military ruler of the oceans and military steward of resources, means the end of a global order.

https://www.samharris.org/podcasts/making-sense-episodes/288-the-end-of-global-order